5 min read

Big Predictions for 2026: From AI Experiments to AI Operations

Big Predictions for 2026: From AI Experiments to AI Operations
6:58

Every year brings new AI breakthroughs.
2026 is different.

This is the year organizations stop asking what AI can do and start dealing with what it takes to run AI at scale. The shift is not about better models. It is about execution.

Andreessen Horowitz’s Big Ideas 2026: Part 1 does a good job of naming the problems builders will be forced to confront next year. Across infrastructure, growth, and vertical software, a clear pattern shows up again and again. AI is moving from tools people use to systems that do work on their behalf.

That change demands a new operating model.

At Productive Edge and Boost Health AI, we see 2026 as the year companies separate into two camps:

  • Those still experimenting with AI
  • Those building AI operations

The difference between them is structure.

Prediction 1: Knowledge Work Becomes Industrial Again

One of the strongest themes in the a16z post is that many labor shortages are self-inflicted. In areas like cybersecurity and enterprise operations, people spend enormous time reviewing logs, documents, and alerts generated by systems that surface everything and prioritize nothing.

AI breaks this cycle by absorbing repetitive work.

This marks a return to industrial thinking. Not in manufacturing, but in knowledge work. Tasks that should be repeatable become repeatable again. Humans shift from execution to oversight and design.

This is the role of the Factory.

The Factory is the operational layer where AI runs high-volume, standardized work with consistency and speed. Intake. Triage. Reconciliation. Reporting. The work that should not require a human every time.

This prediction aligns directly with a16z’s sections on AI reviving labor capacity and agent-native infrastructure.

Prediction 2: Unstructured Data Becomes the Real Bottleneck

a16z is explicit about this. Unstructured, multimodal data is now the biggest blocker to reliable AI. PDFs, emails, faxes, screenshots, notes, and semi-structured content dominate enterprise knowledge. Models keep improving, but the inputs keep getting messier.

When data is unreliable, AI systems hallucinate, workflows break, and human QA creeps back in.

This is why the Foundry exists.

The Foundry is where organizations clean, structure, validate, and govern data before it ever reaches production. Context is defined. Schemas are agreed on. Conflicts are resolved. Truth is enforced.

Without a Foundry, there is no Factory. You cannot industrialize chaos.

This maps directly to a16z’s section on taming multimodal data.

Prediction 3: Systems of Record Lose Their Grip on Execution

a16z predicts that systems of record will lose primacy as AI collapses the gap between intent and execution. CRMs, EHRs, and ERPs still store data, but they no longer drive work.

Execution moves up the stack.

Instead of clicking through workflows, people express goals. Agents read, reason, and act across systems automatically. The system that matters most is no longer the database. It is the intelligent execution layer.

That execution layer is the Factory.

The Foundry designs how the Factory interacts with systems of record. The Factory runs the work. The systems of record persist the result.

Prediction 4: We Stop Designing for Users and Start Designing for Agents

a16z calls out a major shift in how software is built. As agents take over retrieval and execution, visual design and UI flows matter less. Machine legibility matters more.

Agents do not need dashboards. They need rules, context, permissions, and guardrails.

The Foundry is where this design work happens. Policies are defined. Escalation paths are set. Compliance constraints are encoded. Success metrics are agreed on.

The Factory executes those designs quietly in the background.

This shift also explains why screen time stops being a meaningful KPI. The best AI systems do their work without demanding attention.

Prediction 5: Multiplayer AI Becomes the Real Breakthrough

a16z argues that the next wave of value in vertical AI comes from multiplayer systems. Real work is multi-party. Multiple roles. Multiple organizations. Shared context and competing constraints.

Single-agent AI breaks down quickly in these environments.

The Factory becomes the coordination engine for multi-agent, multi-stakeholder workflows. It routes work, manages handoffs, and enforces permissions. The Foundry defines who can do what, when, and under what conditions.

As coordination improves, switching costs rise. The collaboration layer becomes the moat.

Prediction 6: Agent-Speed Operations Break Legacy Infrastructure

Another clear warning from a16z is that enterprise infrastructure was built for human-speed interaction. Agent workloads are recursive, bursty, and massively concurrent.

To legacy systems, this looks like failure or abuse.

In 2026, agent-native operations become table stakes. That means new control planes, new limits, and new approaches to reliability and risk.

The Foundry stress-tests workflows before scale.
The Factory runs them safely in production.

Prediction 7: Pilots Fail Without an Operational Middle

Many organizations will run impressive AI pilots in 2026. Most will never reach production.

The reason is not model quality. It is the missing middle. Teams jump from proof of concept straight to scale without designing governance, measurement, or ownership.

The Foundry fills that gap. It turns experiments into operational systems. The Factory turns systems into outcomes.

Without both, AI remains a demo.

Prediction 8: ROI Becomes About Work Removed, Not Time Spent

a16z makes a simple but important point. Screen time is no longer a proxy for value. The most valuable AI systems deliver outcomes with minimal human interaction.

This forces a shift in how ROI is measured.

Factories are measured by throughput, accuracy, and cost reduction.
Foundries are measured by how quickly they turn ideas into production-ready systems.

The question changes from “How much did people use it?” to “What work disappeared?”

The Factory and the Foundry as the 2026 Operating Model

Taken together, the themes in a16z’s Big Ideas 2026 reinforce a single conclusion.

AI success in 2026 is not about chasing the next model release. It is about building the systems that let AI actually run the business.

That requires two things:

  • A Foundry to design, govern, and evolve intelligent workflows
  • A Factory to execute those workflows reliably, securely, and at scale

Companies that treat AI as tooling will fall behind.

Companies that treat AI as operations will pull away.

2026 is the year that difference becomes impossible to ignore.

Ready to discuss your project?

Let's talk